Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.003882 0.004083 0.004289 0.004516 0.004760 0.005014 0.005300
2025-06-29 0.003533 0.003831 0.004150 0.004517 0.004930 0.005381 0.005916
2025-07-06 0.003221 0.003560 0.003933 0.004374 0.004887 0.005467 0.006177
2025-07-13 0.003063 0.003440 0.003864 0.004378 0.004991 0.005704 0.006606
2025-07-20 0.002971 0.003384 0.003857 0.004444 0.005161 0.006016 0.007131
2025-07-27 0.002836 0.003267 0.003768 0.004402 0.005191 0.006154 0.007440
2025-08-03 0.002724 0.003170 0.003696 0.004372 0.005229 0.006297 0.007757
2025-08-10 0.002622 0.003079 0.003626 0.004338 0.005256 0.006422 0.008052
2025-08-17 0.002581 0.003060 0.003641 0.004409 0.005418 0.006725 0.008597
2025-08-24 0.002504 0.002992 0.003591 0.004393 0.005462 0.006872 0.008934
2025-08-31 0.002427 0.002921 0.003533 0.004363 0.005485 0.006988 0.009230
2025-09-07 0.002343 0.002838 0.003457 0.004305 0.005465 0.007043 0.009437
2025-09-14 0.002264 0.002759 0.003383 0.004247 0.005445 0.007096 0.009649
2025-09-21 0.002213 0.002716 0.003355 0.004250 0.005507 0.007269 0.010047
2025-09-28 0.002113 0.002604 0.003233 0.004119 0.005375 0.007156 0.010000
2025-10-05 0.002071 0.002567 0.003209 0.004123 0.005434 0.007320 0.010392
2025-10-12 0.002053 0.002562 0.003226 0.004183 0.005576 0.007614 0.011005
2025-10-19 0.001999 0.002507 0.003175 0.004145 0.005570 0.007683 0.011258
2025-10-26 0.001953 0.002460 0.003132 0.004117 0.005580 0.007775 0.011550
2025-11-02 0.001907 0.002414 0.003088 0.004085 0.005581 0.007853 0.011823
2025-11-09 0.001897 0.002415 0.003112 0.004151 0.005731 0.008172 0.012530
2025-11-16 0.001860 0.002379 0.003081 0.004136 0.005757 0.008291 0.012893
2025-11-23 0.001821 0.002338 0.003042 0.004109 0.005761 0.008375 0.013197